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HomeMy WebLinkAboutF-1 Financial Impact of 20% Mandatory Water Use Reduction Information Item Presented 4(21 I F-1 INFORMATION ITEM TO: HONORABLE CHAIRPERSON AND MEMBERS OF THE • -• •A UTILITY BOARD FROM: GEORGE F. MORROW,DIRECTOR OF UTILITIES DATE: APRIL 27, 2015 SUBJECT: FINANCIAL IMPACT OF 20% MANDATORY WATER USE REDUCTION Following the issuance of the Governor's April 1, 2015 Executive Order, the State Water Board (SWRCB) issued draft regulations for implementing the 25% state-wide reduction for urban water usage from a 2013 baseline year, including a tier system for water reduction targets by water agency. Water reduction targets range from 8% to 36%. Placement in the water reduction tiers was based on actual residential gallons per capita per day water consumption for the July through September 2014 period. AL&W was placedin a 20% reduction target tier. AL&W's consumption in the 2013 baseline year was 7,956,453 CCF. A 20% reduction from 2013 consumption amounts to annual sales of 6,365,162 CCF. Revenues generated from existing water rates at this usage level will not be sufficient to maintain required debt service coverage, credit ratings, and adequate cash reserves. Since the Water Fund budget is mostly fixed costs, (i.e. little variable cost components), large reductions in consumption results in an under recovery of revenues. Therefore, a rate mechanism needs to be put in place in order to the preserve financial integrity of the Water Fund during periods of significantly lower water sales. The projected revenue shortfall due to a 20% reduction in water sales from 2013 is $2,232,730. There are some cost savings with reduced water production. Savings from water pumping and treatment costs from the reduced sales level are estimated to total $300,000. To accomplish a 20%water usage reduction, enhancements to water conservation programs and education will be necessary, including rebates, communication materials, and increased drought enforcement; Staff estimates an additional$300,000 will be needed for this purpose. Projected Revenue Shortfall $ 2,232,730 Drought Program Expenses 300,000 Less: Reduced Pumping Costs (250,000) Reduced Treatment Expenses (50,000) Total $ 2,232,730 UB-152 Financial Impact of Drought ��..__. . ....- . April 27,2015 Page 2 Recouping the $2,232,730 shortfall could be accomplished through a $0.381/CCF rate for all CCF sales across all customer meter sizes. Customers that reduce consumption in the 2nd and 3rd tiers potentially could reduce overall water costs, even with implementation of an additional drought-related charge. This is because the per CCF commodity rates in tiers 2 and 3 are higher than the potential drought charge. Staff has been working with legal counsel to explore rate options to make up the revenue shortfall —this work is ongoing. One option is to impose a drought charge in accordance with Section E.2 of Water Rule No. 21. Without adoption of a rate mechanism to recover revenue losses from high levels of conservation, debt service is projected to fall below the minimum requirement of 1.25 as set forth in bond covenants. Failing to meet minimum debt coverage requirements puts the Water Fund at risk of credit default. Prepared by: George F. Morrow,Director of Utilities Talika M. Johnson,Utilities Administrative and Financial Services Manager UB-153